To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. Thats a ridiculously huge number. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. You have lived your life. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. Step 2. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. Which one's bigger? Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Now things start getting interesting. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. The Chances You Were Born - Girl to Mom Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. Step 4. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. chances of being born Archives - Happiness Engineering with Dr Ali Binazir So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. Something was dropped and then picked up. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. Wowser. Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Now things start getting interesting. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. Are You Totally Improbable Or Totally Inevitable? Onward to freedom! Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. Just go have some fucking fun! Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. On one try. Step 1. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. Dr. Ali Binazir, Happiness Engineer | Modern Science and Ancient Wisdom On one try. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. But Im not mathy. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. Are they gross exaggerations? Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Your email address will not be published. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Thats 150,000 generations. Are they gross exaggerations? The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Part of HuffPost Wellness. So what's the probability of your being born? So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? dr ali binazir odds of being born. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Dr. Ali Binazir | TheCarolinaCowboy First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Do you know the odds of being alive? The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. So far, so good. Ali Binazir | Armchair Economist Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. dr ali binazir odds of being born And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. dr ali binazir odds of being born - sindicaturarosarito.gob.mx I would call that a personal relationship with God. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. This includes personalizing content and advertising. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. Think of yourself as dead. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. dr ali binazir odds of being born - manoharinternational.com Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. They agree to within a factor of two! This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Why? This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. dr ali binazir odds of being born - simssuccessgroup.com Thats going to take a LONG time. Those who are brave (foolish?) 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. An unimaginably long time. Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. Are you a miracle? On the probability of being born | Dr. Ali Binazir So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. June 5. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. Its maddening to see people worry so much. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Love and the empowered woman: Dr. Ali Binazir at TEDxFiDiWomen As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. Borel's Law of Probability - Owlcation A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. Why? Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. On one try.. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Are You a Miracle? When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion..